The Truth About Betting: Why Most Bettors Lose
When people think about betting, they often assume it’s a 50/50 game—you either win or lose, right? Wrong. The truth about betting is that the odds are stacked against you before you even place a bet.
Bookmakers have their built-in margin, ensuring they profit no matter the outcome. Betting exchanges seem fairer, but they also take their commission and fees, making it difficult for traders to just break even—let alone profit long-term.
And if professional bettors and syndicates win big, that means someone has to lose. Not everyone can win—it’s mathematically impossible.
The Truth About Betting: Why 95% Lose
You’ve probably heard the claim: 95% of bettors lose money in the long run. While that exact percentage is debated, the math tells the real story. Even experts like Peter Webb argue that while it may not be exactly 95%, it’s still a reality —and here’s why.
Let’s split bettors into three categories:
1️⃣ Beginners – The Biggest Losers
- Bet without a plan
- Chase losses after losing streaks
- Trust tips and experts without doing research
💰 Estimated losses per month: €100 – €1,000
2️⃣ Intermediate Bettors – Breaking Even at Best
- Learn some basic strategies
- Use betting exchanges to reduce margins
- Struggle with discipline & execution
💰 Estimated profit/loss per month: €0 – (€200)
3️⃣ Professional Bettors – The Few Who Win
Have an edge through data, models & execution
Focus on long-term profitability, not quick wins
Manage bankroll & stick to tested strategies
💰 Estimated profit per month: €2,000 – €50,000+
Now, let’s do the math. If pros make thousands per month, and intermediates barely break even, that leaves beginners absorbing most of the losses. That’s why the truth about betting is that the majority must lose for a few to win.
Know the Reality Before You Trade
If you want to bet or trade, you need to understand the fundamentals:
- You’re playing against a margin (bookmakers) or commission (exchanges).
- You need a strategy & discipline to even break even.
- Most bettors lose because they don’t have an edge.
The truth about betting isn’t meant to discourage you—it’s meant to prepare you. If you know the reality, you can focus on building real skills, learning from professionals, and avoiding common traps.
Are you ready to trade smarter? Educate yourself before you bet.
Thinking About Quitting Betting or Sports Trading? That’s Also an Option
If you’ve ever considered quitting betting or sports trading, that might not be a bad idea. The best approach is to be honest with yourself—are you betting for fun or for profit?
If your goal is profit and you’re struggling, we’ll show you how to find the best approach or even explore alternative ways to make money outside of betting. There are plenty of options, and sometimes stepping away is the smartest decision.
Whatever your choice, make it an informed one. That’s what we stand for.
